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A Landslide Victory For Mitt ...
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Hägar
2012-10-12 08:34:00 EST
A Las Vegas "odds maker" gives his reasons for big win by Romney in
November. Interesting analysis. Most political predictions are made by
biased pollsters, pundits, or prognosticators who are either rooting for
Republicans or Democrats. I am neither. I am a former Libertarian Vice
Presidential nominee, and a well-known Vegas odds maker with one of the most
accurate records of predicting political races. But as an odds maker with a
pretty remarkable track record of picking political races, I play no
favorites. I simply use common sense to call them as I see them. Back in
late December I released my New Year's Predictions.

#1. I predicted back then-before a single GOP primary had been held, with
Romney trailing for months to almost every GOP competitor from Rick Perry to
Herman Cain to Newt - that Romney would easily rout his competition to win
the GOP nomination by a landslide.

#2. I also predicted that the Presidential race between Obama and Romney
would be very close until election day. But that on election day Romney
would win by a landslide similar to Reagan-Carter in 1980. Understanding
history, today I am even more convinced of a resounding Romney victory. 32
years ago at this moment in time, Reagan was losing by 9 points to Carter.
Romney is right now running even in polls.

#3. So why do most pollsters give Obama the edge? First, most pollsters are
missing one ingredient- common sense. Here is my gut instinct. Not one
American who voted for McCain 4 years ago will switch to Obama. Not one in
all the land. But many millions of people who voted for an unknown Obama 4
years ago are angry, disillusioned, turned off, or scared about the future.
Voters know Obama now - and that is a bad harbinger.
Now to an analysis of the voting blocks that matter in U.S. politics:

#4. Black voters. Obama has nowhere to go but down among this group. His
endorsement of gay marriage has alienated many black church-going
Christians. He may get 88% of their vote instead of the 96% he got in 2008.
This is not good news for Obama.

#5. Jewish voters. Obama has been weak in his support of Israel. Many Jewish
voters and big donors are angry and disappointed. I predict Obama's Jewish
support drops from 78% in 2008 to the low 60's. This is not good news for
Obama.

#6. Youth voters. Obama's biggest and most enthusiastic believers from 4
years ago have graduated into a job market from hell. Young people are
disillusioned, frightened, and broke-a bad combination. The enthusiasm is
long gone. Turnout will be much lower among young voters, as will actual
voting percentages. This not good news for Obama.

#7. Catholic voters. Obama won a majority of Catholics in 2008. That won't
happen again. Out of desperation to please women, Obama went to war with the
Catholic Church over contraception. Now he is being sued by the Catholic
Church. Majority lost. This is not good news for Obama.

#8. Small Business owners. Because I ran for Vice President last time
around, and I'm a small businessman myself, I know literally thousands of
small business owners. At least 40% of them in my circle of friends, fans
and supporters voted for Obama 4 years ago to give someone different a
chance. As I warned them that he would pursue a war on capitalism and
demonize anyone who owned a business...that he'd support unions over the
private sector in a big way...that he'd overwhelm the economy with spending
and debt. My friends didn't listen. Four years later, I can't find one
person in my circle of small business owner friends voting for Obama, Not
one. This is not good news for Obama.

#9. Blue collar working class whites. Do I need to say a thing? White
working class voters are about as happy with Obama as Boston Red Sox fans
feel about the New York Yankees. This is not good news for Obama.

#10. Suburban moms. The issue isn't contraception, it's having a job to pay
for contraception. Obama's economy frightens these moms. They are worried
about putting food on the table. They fear for their children's future. This
is not good news for Obama.

#11. Military Veterans. McCain won this group by 10 points. Romney is
winning by 24 points. The more our military vets got to see of Obama, the
more they disliked him. This is not good news for Obama.

Add it up. Is there one major group where Obama has gained since 2008? Will
anyone in America wake up on election day saying, I didn't vote for Obama 4
years ago, but he's done such a fantastic job, I can't wait to vote for him
today. Does anyone feel that a vote for Obama makes their job more secure?
Forget the polls. My gut instincts as a Vegas odds maker and common sense
small businessman tell me this will be a historic landslide and a
world-class repudiation of Obama's radical and risky socialist agenda. It's
Reagan-Carter all over again. But I'll give Obama credit for one thing- he
is living proof that familiarity breeds contempt.









Brad Guth
2012-10-12 09:57:14 EST
On Oct 12, 5:34 am, "H gar" <hs...@yahoo.com> wrote:
> A Las Vegas "odds maker" gives his reasons for big win by Romney in
> November. Interesting analysis. Most political predictions are made by
> biased pollsters, pundits, or prognosticators who are either rooting for
> Republicans or Democrats. I am neither. I am a former Libertarian Vice
> Presidential nominee, and a well-known Vegas odds maker with one of the most
> accurate records of predicting political races.  But as an odds maker with a
> pretty remarkable track record of picking political races, I play no
> favorites. I simply use common sense to call them as I see them. Back in
> late December I released my New Year's Predictions.
>
> #1. I predicted back then-before a single GOP primary had been held, with
> Romney trailing for months to almost every GOP competitor from Rick Perry to
> Herman Cain to Newt - that Romney would easily rout his competition to win
> the GOP nomination by a landslide.
>
> #2. I also predicted that the Presidential race between Obama and Romney
> would be very close until election day. But that on election day Romney
> would win by a landslide similar to Reagan-Carter in 1980. Understanding
> history, today I am even more convinced of a resounding Romney victory. 32
> years ago at this moment in time, Reagan was losing by 9 points to Carter.
> Romney is right now running even in polls.
>
> #3. So why do most pollsters give Obama the edge? First, most pollsters are
> missing one ingredient- common sense. Here is my gut instinct. Not one
> American who voted for McCain 4 years ago will switch to Obama. Not one in
> all the land. But many millions of people who voted for an unknown Obama 4
> years ago are angry, disillusioned, turned off, or scared about the future.
> Voters know Obama now - and that is a bad harbinger.
> Now to an analysis of the voting blocks that matter in U.S. politics:
>
> #4. Black voters. Obama has nowhere to go but down among this group. His
> endorsement of gay marriage has alienated many black church-going
> Christians. He may get 88% of their vote instead of the 96% he got in 2008.
> This is not good news for Obama.
>
> #5. Jewish voters. Obama has been weak in his support of Israel. Many Jewish
> voters and big donors are angry and disappointed. I predict Obama's Jewish
> support drops from 78% in 2008 to the low 60's. This is not good news for
> Obama.
>
> #6. Youth voters. Obama's biggest and most enthusiastic believers from 4
> years ago have graduated into a job market from hell. Young people are
> disillusioned, frightened, and broke-a bad combination. The enthusiasm is
> long gone. Turnout will be much lower among young voters, as will actual
> voting percentages. This not good news for Obama.
>
> #7. Catholic voters. Obama won a majority of Catholics in 2008. That won't
> happen again. Out of desperation to please women, Obama went to war with the
> Catholic Church over contraception. Now he is being sued by the Catholic
> Church.  Majority lost.  This is not good news for Obama.
>
> #8. Small Business owners. Because I ran for Vice President last time
> around, and I'm a small businessman myself, I know literally thousands of
> small business owners. At least 40% of them in my circle of friends, fans
> and supporters voted for Obama 4 years ago to give someone different a
> chance. As I warned them that he would pursue a war on capitalism and
> demonize anyone who owned a business...that he'd support unions over the
> private sector in a big way...that he'd overwhelm the economy with spending
> and debt. My friends didn't listen. Four years later, I can't find one
> person in my circle of small business owner friends voting for Obama, Not
> one. This is not good news for Obama.
>
> #9. Blue collar working class whites. Do I need to say a thing? White
> working class voters are about as happy with Obama as Boston Red Sox fans
> feel about the New York Yankees. This is not good news for Obama.
>
> #10. Suburban moms. The issue isn't contraception, it's having a job to pay
> for contraception. Obama's economy frightens these moms. They are worried
> about putting food on the table. They fear for their children's future. This
> is not good news for Obama.
>
> #11. Military Veterans. McCain won this group by 10 points. Romney is
> winning by 24 points. The more our military vets got to see of Obama, the
> more they disliked him. This is not good news for Obama.
>
> Add it up. Is there one major group where Obama has gained since 2008?  Will
> anyone in America wake up on election day saying, I didn't vote for Obama 4
> years ago, but he's done such a fantastic job, I can't wait to vote for him
> today.  Does anyone feel that a vote for Obama makes their job more secure?
> Forget the polls. My gut instincts as a Vegas odds maker and common sense
> small businessman tell me this will be a historic landslide and a
> world-class repudiation of Obama's radical and risky socialist agenda.  It's
> Reagan-Carter all over again.  But I'll give Obama credit for one thing- he
> is living proof that familiarity breeds contempt.

So, how much have you wagered? (outside of those cheese blocks you
hoard)

Notroll2012
2012-10-12 10:45:13 EST


"Brad Guth" wrote in message
news:5616bcf0-06e6-4819-bdf6-e5853305e2ab@n16g2000yqi.googlegroups.com...

On Oct 12, 5:34 am, "H gar" <hs...@yahoo.com> wrote:
> A Las Vegas "odds maker" gives his reasons for big win by Romney in
> November. Interesting analysis. Most political predictions are made by
> biased pollsters, pundits, or prognosticators who are either rooting for
> Republicans or Democrats. I am neither. I am a former Libertarian Vice
> Presidential nominee, and a well-known Vegas odds maker with one of the
> most
> accurate records of predicting political races. But as an odds maker with
> a
> pretty remarkable track record of picking political races, I play no
> favorites. I simply use common sense to call them as I see them. Back in
> late December I released my New Year's Predictions.
>
> #1. I predicted back then-before a single GOP primary had been held, with
> Romney trailing for months to almost every GOP competitor from Rick Perry
> to
> Herman Cain to Newt - that Romney would easily rout his competition to win
> the GOP nomination by a landslide.
>
> #2. I also predicted that the Presidential race between Obama and Romney
> would be very close until election day. But that on election day Romney
> would win by a landslide similar to Reagan-Carter in 1980. Understanding
> history, today I am even more convinced of a resounding Romney victory. 32
> years ago at this moment in time, Reagan was losing by 9 points to Carter.
> Romney is right now running even in polls.
>
> #3. So why do most pollsters give Obama the edge? First, most pollsters
> are
> missing one ingredient- common sense. Here is my gut instinct. Not one
> American who voted for McCain 4 years ago will switch to Obama. Not one in
> all the land. But many millions of people who voted for an unknown Obama 4
> years ago are angry, disillusioned, turned off, or scared about the
> future.
> Voters know Obama now - and that is a bad harbinger.
> Now to an analysis of the voting blocks that matter in U.S. politics:
>
> #4. Black voters. Obama has nowhere to go but down among this group. His
> endorsement of gay marriage has alienated many black church-going
> Christians. He may get 88% of their vote instead of the 96% he got in
> 2008.
> This is not good news for Obama.
>
> #5. Jewish voters. Obama has been weak in his support of Israel. Many
> Jewish
> voters and big donors are angry and disappointed. I predict Obama's Jewish
> support drops from 78% in 2008 to the low 60's. This is not good news for
> Obama.
>
> #6. Youth voters. Obama's biggest and most enthusiastic believers from 4
> years ago have graduated into a job market from hell. Young people are
> disillusioned, frightened, and broke-a bad combination. The enthusiasm is
> long gone. Turnout will be much lower among young voters, as will actual
> voting percentages. This not good news for Obama.
>
> #7. Catholic voters. Obama won a majority of Catholics in 2008. That won't
> happen again. Out of desperation to please women, Obama went to war with
> the
> Catholic Church over contraception. Now he is being sued by the Catholic
> Church. Majority lost. This is not good news for Obama.
>
> #8. Small Business owners. Because I ran for Vice President last time
> around, and I'm a small businessman myself, I know literally thousands of
> small business owners. At least 40% of them in my circle of friends, fans
> and supporters voted for Obama 4 years ago to give someone different a
> chance. As I warned them that he would pursue a war on capitalism and
> demonize anyone who owned a business...that he'd support unions over the
> private sector in a big way...that he'd overwhelm the economy with
> spending
> and debt. My friends didn't listen. Four years later, I can't find one
> person in my circle of small business owner friends voting for Obama, Not
> one. This is not good news for Obama.
>
> #9. Blue collar working class whites. Do I need to say a thing? White
> working class voters are about as happy with Obama as Boston Red Sox fans
> feel about the New York Yankees. This is not good news for Obama.
>
> #10. Suburban moms. The issue isn't contraception, it's having a job to
> pay
> for contraception. Obama's economy frightens these moms. They are worried
> about putting food on the table. They fear for their children's future.
> This
> is not good news for Obama.
>
> #11. Military Veterans. McCain won this group by 10 points. Romney is
> winning by 24 points. The more our military vets got to see of Obama, the
> more they disliked him. This is not good news for Obama.
>
> Add it up. Is there one major group where Obama has gained since 2008?
> Will
> anyone in America wake up on election day saying, I didn't vote for Obama
> 4
> years ago, but he's done such a fantastic job, I can't wait to vote for
> him
> today. Does anyone feel that a vote for Obama makes their job more
> secure?
> Forget the polls. My gut instincts as a Vegas odds maker and common sense
> small businessman tell me this will be a historic landslide and a
> world-class repudiation of Obama's radical and risky socialist agenda.
> It's
> Reagan-Carter all over again. But I'll give Obama credit for one thing-
> he
> is living proof that familiarity breeds contempt.

So, how much have you wagered? (outside of those cheese blocks you
hoard)
***********
Hags is going to lose the trailer pad rent again.


Bast
2012-10-12 11:48:18 EST


H\ufffdgar wrote:
> A Las Vegas "odds maker" gives his reasons for big win by Romney in
> November. Interesting analysis. Most political predictions are made by
> biased pollsters, pundits, or prognosticators who are either rooting for
> Republicans or Democrats. I am neither. I am a former Libertarian Vice
> Presidential nominee, and a well-known Vegas odds maker with one of the
> most accurate records of predicting political races. But as an odds
> maker with a pretty remarkable track record of picking political races,
> I play no favorites. I simply use common sense to call them as I see
> them. Back in late December I released my New Year's Predictions.
>
> #1. I predicted back then-before a single GOP primary had been held,
> with Romney trailing for months to almost every GOP competitor from
> Rick Perry to Herman Cain to Newt - that Romney would easily rout his
> competition to win the GOP nomination by a landslide.
>
> #2. I also predicted that the Presidential race between Obama and Romney
> would be very close until election day. But that on election day Romney
> would win by a landslide similar to Reagan-Carter in 1980. Understanding
> history, today I am even more convinced of a resounding Romney victory.
> 32 years ago at this moment in time, Reagan was losing by 9 points to
> Carter. Romney is right now running even in polls.
>
> #3. So why do most pollsters give Obama the edge? First, most pollsters
> are missing one ingredient- common sense. Here is my gut instinct. Not
> one American who voted for McCain 4 years ago will switch to Obama. Not
> one in all the land. But many millions of people who voted for an
> unknown Obama 4 years ago are angry, disillusioned, turned off, or
> scared about the future. Voters know Obama now - and that is a bad
> harbinger. Now to an analysis of the voting blocks that matter in U.S.
> politics:
>
> #4. Black voters. Obama has nowhere to go but down among this group. His
> endorsement of gay marriage has alienated many black church-going
> Christians. He may get 88% of their vote instead of the 96% he got in
> 2008. This is not good news for Obama.
>
> #5. Jewish voters. Obama has been weak in his support of Israel. Many
> Jewish voters and big donors are angry and disappointed. I predict
> Obama's Jewish support drops from 78% in 2008 to the low 60's. This is
> not good news for Obama.
>
> #6. Youth voters. Obama's biggest and most enthusiastic believers from 4
> years ago have graduated into a job market from hell. Young people are
> disillusioned, frightened, and broke-a bad combination. The enthusiasm
> is long gone. Turnout will be much lower among young voters, as will
> actual voting percentages. This not good news for Obama.
>
> #7. Catholic voters. Obama won a majority of Catholics in 2008. That
> won't happen again. Out of desperation to please women, Obama went to
> war with the Catholic Church over contraception. Now he is being sued
> by the Catholic Church. Majority lost. This is not good news for
> Obama.
> #8. Small Business owners. Because I ran for Vice President last time
> around, and I'm a small businessman myself, I know literally thousands
> of small business owners. At least 40% of them in my circle of friends,
> fans and supporters voted for Obama 4 years ago to give someone
> different a chance. As I warned them that he would pursue a war on
> capitalism and demonize anyone who owned a business...that he'd support
> unions over the private sector in a big way...that he'd overwhelm the
> economy with spending and debt. My friends didn't listen. Four years
> later, I can't find one person in my circle of small business owner
> friends voting for Obama, Not one. This is not good news for Obama.
>
> #9. Blue collar working class whites. Do I need to say a thing? White
> working class voters are about as happy with Obama as Boston Red Sox
> fans feel about the New York Yankees. This is not good news for Obama.
>
> #10. Suburban moms. The issue isn't contraception, it's having a job to
> pay for contraception. Obama's economy frightens these moms. They are
> worried about putting food on the table. They fear for their children's
> future. This is not good news for Obama.
>
> #11. Military Veterans. McCain won this group by 10 points. Romney is
> winning by 24 points. The more our military vets got to see of Obama,
> the more they disliked him. This is not good news for Obama.
>
> Add it up. Is there one major group where Obama has gained since 2008?
> Will anyone in America wake up on election day saying, I didn't vote
> for Obama 4 years ago, but he's done such a fantastic job, I can't wait
> to vote for him today. Does anyone feel that a vote for Obama makes
> their job more secure? Forget the polls. My gut instincts as a Vegas
> odds maker and common sense small businessman tell me this will be a
> historic landslide and a world-class repudiation of Obama's radical and
> risky socialist agenda. It's Reagan-Carter all over again. But I'll
> give Obama credit for one thing- he is living proof that familiarity
> breeds contempt.






So is this gift for "fortelling the future", a genetic thing you inherited
from your parents ?
....Or did they have no idea you would turn out to be a pompous ass.




Hägar
2012-10-12 12:31:19 EST

"Bast" <fakename@nomail.invalid> wrote in message
news:k59e44$aph$1@dont-email.me...

< snipped to conserve virtual paper >


> So is this gift for "fortelling the future", a genetic thing you inherited
> from your parents ?

*** Yea ... pretty much ... the same place from whence you inherited your
utter stupidity ...

> ....Or did they have no idea you would turn out to be a pompous ass.

*** Or in your case a 9/11 Truther Loozer



I2i
2012-10-12 12:53:01 EST


>"Hägar" wrote in message
>news:808ba$50780e24$453ebb0b$10654@EVERESTKC.NET...

>A Las Vegas "odds maker" gives his reasons for big win by Romney in
>November.

bwahahahahahahahahahahahahaha.

the only big win romney would get if he
gets elected is how deep he gets into your
pockets. much deeper than obama ever
dreamed of doing.

you think the economy is bad now?
just elect romney. can you spell
worldwide depression ?


Brad Guth
2012-10-12 14:07:15 EST
On Oct 12, 7:45 am, "Notroll2012" <notroll2...@charter.net> wrote:
> "Brad Guth"  wrote in message
>
> news:5616bcf0-06e6-4819-bdf6-e5853305e2ab@n16g2000yqi.googlegroups.com...
>
> On Oct 12, 5:34 am, "H gar" <hs...@yahoo.com> wrote:
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> > A Las Vegas "odds maker" gives his reasons for big win by Romney in
> > November. Interesting analysis. Most political predictions are made by
> > biased pollsters, pundits, or prognosticators who are either rooting for
> > Republicans or Democrats. I am neither. I am a former Libertarian Vice
> > Presidential nominee, and a well-known Vegas odds maker with one of the
> > most
> > accurate records of predicting political races.  But as an odds maker with
> > a
> > pretty remarkable track record of picking political races, I play no
> > favorites. I simply use common sense to call them as I see them. Back in
> > late December I released my New Year's Predictions.
>
> > #1. I predicted back then-before a single GOP primary had been held, with
> > Romney trailing for months to almost every GOP competitor from Rick Perry
> > to
> > Herman Cain to Newt - that Romney would easily rout his competition to win
> > the GOP nomination by a landslide.
>
> > #2. I also predicted that the Presidential race between Obama and Romney
> > would be very close until election day. But that on election day Romney
> > would win by a landslide similar to Reagan-Carter in 1980. Understanding
> > history, today I am even more convinced of a resounding Romney victory. 32
> > years ago at this moment in time, Reagan was losing by 9 points to Carter.
> > Romney is right now running even in polls.
>
> > #3. So why do most pollsters give Obama the edge? First, most pollsters
> > are
> > missing one ingredient- common sense. Here is my gut instinct. Not one
> > American who voted for McCain 4 years ago will switch to Obama. Not one in
> > all the land. But many millions of people who voted for an unknown Obama 4
> > years ago are angry, disillusioned, turned off, or scared about the
> > future.
> > Voters know Obama now - and that is a bad harbinger.
> > Now to an analysis of the voting blocks that matter in U.S. politics:
>
> > #4. Black voters. Obama has nowhere to go but down among this group. His
> > endorsement of gay marriage has alienated many black church-going
> > Christians. He may get 88% of their vote instead of the 96% he got in
> > 2008.
> > This is not good news for Obama.
>
> > #5. Jewish voters. Obama has been weak in his support of Israel. Many
> > Jewish
> > voters and big donors are angry and disappointed. I predict Obama's Jewish
> > support drops from 78% in 2008 to the low 60's. This is not good news for
> > Obama.
>
> > #6. Youth voters. Obama's biggest and most enthusiastic believers from 4
> > years ago have graduated into a job market from hell. Young people are
> > disillusioned, frightened, and broke-a bad combination. The enthusiasm is
> > long gone. Turnout will be much lower among young voters, as will actual
> > voting percentages. This not good news for Obama.
>
> > #7. Catholic voters. Obama won a majority of Catholics in 2008. That won't
> > happen again. Out of desperation to please women, Obama went to war with
> > the
> > Catholic Church over contraception. Now he is being sued by the Catholic
> > Church.  Majority lost.  This is not good news for Obama.
>
> > #8. Small Business owners. Because I ran for Vice President last time
> > around, and I'm a small businessman myself, I know literally thousands of
> > small business owners. At least 40% of them in my circle of friends, fans
> > and supporters voted for Obama 4 years ago to give someone different a
> > chance. As I warned them that he would pursue a war on capitalism and
> > demonize anyone who owned a business...that he'd support unions over the
> > private sector in a big way...that he'd overwhelm the economy with
> > spending
> > and debt. My friends didn't listen. Four years later, I can't find one
> > person in my circle of small business owner friends voting for Obama, Not
> > one. This is not good news for Obama.
>
> > #9. Blue collar working class whites. Do I need to say a thing? White
> > working class voters are about as happy with Obama as Boston Red Sox fans
> > feel about the New York Yankees. This is not good news for Obama.
>
> > #10. Suburban moms. The issue isn't contraception, it's having a job to
> > pay
> > for contraception. Obama's economy frightens these moms. They are worried
> > about putting food on the table. They fear for their children's future.
> > This
> > is not good news for Obama.
>
> > #11. Military Veterans. McCain won this group by 10 points. Romney is
> > winning by 24 points. The more our military vets got to see of Obama, the
> > more they disliked him. This is not good news for Obama.
>
> > Add it up. Is there one major group where Obama has gained since 2008?
> > Will
> > anyone in America wake up on election day saying, I didn't vote for Obama
> > 4
> > years ago, but he's done such a fantastic job, I can't wait to vote for
> > him
> > today.  Does anyone feel that a vote for Obama makes their job more
> > secure?
> > Forget the polls. My gut instincts as a Vegas odds maker and common sense
> > small businessman tell me this will be a historic landslide and a
> > world-class repudiation of Obama's radical and risky socialist agenda.
> > It's
> > Reagan-Carter all over again.  But I'll give Obama credit for one thing-
> > he
> > is living proof that familiarity breeds contempt.
>
> So, how much have you wagered? (outside of those cheese blocks you
> hoard)
> ***********
> Hags is going to lose the trailer pad rent again.

In the past century, GOP do-overs haven't averaged out for the better,
that is unless you happen to be a ZNR certified Oligarch or one of
their redneck and always brown-nosed minions.

At best we seem to get one or two good things, but then have to suffer
through a dozen really bad things.

Brad Guth
2012-10-12 14:08:53 EST
On Oct 12, 9:31 am, "H gar" <hs...@yahoo.com> wrote:
> "Bast" <faken...@nomail.invalid> wrote in message
>
> news:k59e44$aph$1@dont-email.me...
>
> < snipped to conserve virtual paper >
>
> > So is this gift for "fortelling the future", a genetic thing you inherited
> > from your parents ?
>
> *** Yea ... pretty much ... the same place from whence you inherited your
> utter stupidity ...
>
> > ....Or did they have no idea you would turn out to be a pompous ass.
>
> *** Or in your case a 9/11 Truther Loozer

In your pathetic case, the very last thing needed is the whole truth
and nothing but the truth.

Brad Guth
2012-10-12 14:09:39 EST
On Oct 12, 9:53 am, "i2i" <boo...@netzero.net> wrote:
> >"H gar"  wrote in message
> >news:808ba$50780e24$453ebb0b$10654@EVERESTKC.NET...
> >A Las Vegas "odds maker" gives his reasons for big win by Romney in
> >November.
>
> bwahahahahahahahahahahahahaha.
>
> the only big win romney would get if he
> gets elected is how deep he gets into your
> pockets. much deeper than obama ever
> dreamed of doing.
>
> you think the economy is bad now?
> just elect romney. can you spell
> worldwide depression ?

It's spelled WW3.

The Patriot
2012-10-13 15:19:15 EST

"Brad Guth" <bradguth@gmail.com> wrote in message
news:5616bcf0-06e6-4819-bdf6-e5853305e2ab@n16g2000yqi.googlegroups.com...
On Oct 12, 5:34 am, "H gar" <hs...@yahoo.com> wrote:
> A Las Vegas "odds maker" gives his reasons for big
> win by Romney in
> November. Interesting analysis. Most political
> predictions are made by
> biased pollsters, pundits, or prognosticators who are
> either rooting for
> Republicans or Democrats. I am neither. I am a former
> Libertarian Vice
> Presidential nominee, and a well-known Vegas odds
> maker with one of the most
> accurate records of predicting political races. But
> as an odds maker with a
> pretty remarkable track record of picking political
> races, I play no
> favorites. I simply use common sense to call them as
> I see them. Back in
> late December I released my New Year's Predictions.
>
> #1. I predicted back then-before a single GOP primary
> had been held, with
> Romney trailing for months to almost every GOP
> competitor from Rick Perry to
> Herman Cain to Newt - that Romney would easily rout
> his competition to win
> the GOP nomination by a landslide.
>
> #2. I also predicted that the Presidential race
> between Obama and Romney
> would be very close until election day. But that on
> election day Romney
> would win by a landslide similar to Reagan-Carter in
> 1980. Understanding
> history, today I am even more convinced of a
> resounding Romney victory. 32
> years ago at this moment in time, Reagan was losing
> by 9 points to Carter.
> Romney is right now running even in polls.
>
> #3. So why do most pollsters give Obama the edge?
> First, most pollsters are
> missing one ingredient- common sense. Here is my gut
> instinct. Not one
> American who voted for McCain 4 years ago will switch
> to Obama. Not one in
> all the land. But many millions of people who voted
> for an unknown Obama 4
> years ago are angry, disillusioned, turned off, or
> scared about the future.
> Voters know Obama now - and that is a bad harbinger.
> Now to an analysis of the voting blocks that matter
> in U.S. politics:
>
> #4. Black voters. Obama has nowhere to go but down
> among this group. His
> endorsement of gay marriage has alienated many black
> church-going
> Christians. He may get 88% of their vote instead of
> the 96% he got in 2008.
> This is not good news for Obama.
>
> #5. Jewish voters. Obama has been weak in his support
> of Israel. Many Jewish
> voters and big donors are angry and disappointed. I
> predict Obama's Jewish
> support drops from 78% in 2008 to the low 60's. This
> is not good news for
> Obama.
>
> #6. Youth voters. Obama's biggest and most
> enthusiastic believers from 4
> years ago have graduated into a job market from hell.
> Young people are
> disillusioned, frightened, and broke-a bad
> combination. The enthusiasm is
> long gone. Turnout will be much lower among young
> voters, as will actual
> voting percentages. This not good news for Obama.
>
> #7. Catholic voters. Obama won a majority of
> Catholics in 2008. That won't
> happen again. Out of desperation to please women,
> Obama went to war with the
> Catholic Church over contraception. Now he is being
> sued by the Catholic
> Church. Majority lost. This is not good news for
> Obama.
>
> #8. Small Business owners. Because I ran for Vice
> President last time
> around, and I'm a small businessman myself, I know
> literally thousands of
> small business owners. At least 40% of them in my
> circle of friends, fans
> and supporters voted for Obama 4 years ago to give
> someone different a
> chance. As I warned them that he would pursue a war
> on capitalism and
> demonize anyone who owned a business...that he'd
> support unions over the
> private sector in a big way...that he'd overwhelm the
> economy with spending
> and debt. My friends didn't listen. Four years later,
> I can't find one
> person in my circle of small business owner friends
> voting for Obama, Not
> one. This is not good news for Obama.
>
> #9. Blue collar working class whites. Do I need to
> say a thing? White
> working class voters are about as happy with Obama as
> Boston Red Sox fans
> feel about the New York Yankees. This is not good
> news for Obama.
>
> #10. Suburban moms. The issue isn't contraception,
> it's having a job to pay
> for contraception. Obama's economy frightens these
> moms. They are worried
> about putting food on the table. They fear for their
> children's future. This
> is not good news for Obama.
>
> #11. Military Veterans. McCain won this group by 10
> points. Romney is
> winning by 24 points. The more our military vets got
> to see of Obama, the
> more they disliked him. This is not good news for
> Obama.
>
> Add it up. Is there one major group where Obama has
> gained since 2008? Will
> anyone in America wake up on election day saying, I
> didn't vote for Obama 4
> years ago, but he's done such a fantastic job, I
> can't wait to vote for him
> today. Does anyone feel that a vote for Obama makes
> their job more secure?
> Forget the polls. My gut instincts as a Vegas odds
> maker and common sense
> small businessman tell me this will be a historic
> landslide and a
> world-class repudiation of Obama's radical and risky
> socialist agenda. It's
> Reagan-Carter all over again. But I'll give Obama
> credit for one thing- he
> is living proof that familiarity breeds contempt.

So, how much have you wagered? (outside of those cheese
blocks you
hoard)

=====================================================

Guthball you are one dumb imbecile.

The Patriot.


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